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The Long Sunset of Pax Americana: Welcome to the reality of Bellum Americanum ..
Since the dust settled over the ruins of 1945, the world has operated under the comforting, if somewhat delusional, umbrella of "Pax Americana." The term suggests a Roman-style peace enforced by a singular, stabilising hegemon. Yet, looking at the ledger of the last eighty years, the "Pax" feels less like a period of tranquility and more like a high-octane or (napalm) demolition derby. In reality, America hasn’t really been a peacekeeper; it has been a perennial combatant. Of the eighty years since World War II, the United States has been actively at war for forty of them. A 50% "uptime" for kinetic conflict. Perhaps it is time the history books swapped the Latin from Pax Americana to Bellum Americanum. The branding is catching up to the reality. With the U.S. Department of Defense effectively operating as a "Department of War" once again, the pretense of "defense" as a purely reactive posture is fading. A History Written in Cordite The timeline of American interventionism is not a series of unfortunate events, it is a sustained policy of global management via the barrel of a gun. It began in earnest with the Korean War (1950-1953), a "police action" that never officially ended, followed by the quagmire of Vietnam (1955-1975), which fractured the American psyche but failed to dampen the appetite for foreign entanglement. The turn of the millennium brought the "Forever Wars." Afghanistan (2001-2021) became the longest conflict in U.S. history, a twenty-year exercise in nation-building that ended precisely where it started. Then there was Iraq (2003-2011), and again in 2014), a war justified by phantoms and settled with exhaustion. Add to this the interventions in the Balkans, Libya, and the ongoing counter-terror operations across the Maghreb. The “period of"peace" starts to look remarkably bloody. The Architect of Change Then to include the darker cousin of open warfare: "Regime Change." Washington has long treated foreign cabinets like a game of musical chairs. Iran (1953): The classic CIA-MI6 playbook ousting Mohammad Mossadegh to defend U.S. and U.K. oil interests in the area. Iraq (2003): The ultimate, heavy-handed "reset" button. The Search for the mythical weapons of mass destruction to prove imminent threat as a casus belli. The (2026) Wave: The recent "extraction" of Venezuela’s Maduro and the escalating strikes on Iranian infrastructure mark a return to the most aggressive forms of interventionism. The Trump Escalation: More Bang, Less Talk While the campaign rhetoric often leans toward isolationism, the tactical reality under the second Trump administration is anything but quiet. The "endless wars" may be criticized in speeches, but they are being prosecuted with unprecedented mechanical efficiency. According to recent data from Statista and ACLED, the contrast between the Biden and Trump eras is stark. In his full four-year term, Joe Biden oversaw approximately 694 missile and drone strikes. In just the first year of his second term, Donald Trump has already authorized 658 strikes, nearly matching a four-year total in twelve months. 2026 is off to a flying start. The target list reads like a geopolitical hit list: Iraq, Iran, Nigeria, Somalia, Syria, Venezuela, and Yemen. This isn't just "America First"; it is "America Everywhere, All at Once." The strategy has shifted from the slow-burn counter-insurgency of the 2010s to a "strike first, ask questions later" doctrine. The goal appears to be the decapitation of threats before they can mature, regardless of the "shared rules" of the international order. Conclusion: What’s Next? As we navigate this continuing period of Bellum Americanum, the map of American interest continues to shift. The White House has proven it has no qualms about breaching traditional diplomatic boundaries if it perceives a strategic or economic "problem to be managed.” With Venezuela "neutralized" and Iran under a persistent cloud of cruise missiles, the Department of War is inevitably zooming in on the Caribbean’s most enduring outlier. As the U.S. plans to send more troops to the Middle East again. Let us not forget the hasty withdrawals from Saigon [1975 Gerald Ford], Kabul [2021 Joe Biden] plus the tragedy of the Iranian hostage rescue [Operation Eagle Claw 1980 Jimmy Carter}. Boots on the Ground or Bodies in A Bag, Let’s hope Operation Epic Fury does not become Operation Epic Disaster 2026 Donald Trump ... https://www.statista.com/chart/35728/comparison-of-us-foreign-military-strikes-under-biden-and-trump/
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The Saturday EconomistAuthorJohn Ashcroft publishes the Saturday Economist. Join the mailing list for updates on the UK and World Economy. Archives
March 2026
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