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China’s Strategic Shift: Turning Dollars into Gold The global financial landscape is changing rapidly. One of the most significant trends is China’s ongoing reduction of its US Treasury holdings. Latest data reveals China’s Treasury assets have fallen to $730.7 billion July 2025, the lowest level since 2008 and a fall of nearly $570 billion from an historic peak of $1.3 trillion. This gradual yet decisive move signals more than just a portfolio adjustment; it reflects deep strategic thinking re economics, geopolitics, and long-term national priorities. What is driving this dramatic shift? First, rising geopolitical tensions have heightened concerns over the weaponisation of the US dollar. China, like many emerging economies, is seeking to guard its reserves against potential disruptions. Russia was a warning to all. In addition, slower post-COVID economic growth and evolving trade barriers are making dollar-denominated assets less attractive for Chinese policymakers. China’s diversification strategy is robust and multidimensional. Gold is the headline. China’s official gold reserves have soared, with central bank purchases continuing for more than ten consecutive months and stockpiles now exceeding 74 million troy ounces (2,302 tonnes), worth some $250 billion dollars. This surge makes China one of the world’s leading state buyers. Gold now accounts for roughly 7% of total foreign exchange reserves. That’s not all. China is reallocating towards European investment-grade bonds, driven by the depth and liquidity of European markets. There’s speculation that increased holdings of euros, British pounds, and Swiss francs are supporting both reserve growth and new trade patterns with Europe. In parallel, to reduce reliance on the US dollar in global commerce, China is investing in the internationalization of the yuan (RMB), leveraging cross-border payment systems and exploring digital currency solutions. Even digital assets are on the radar, with Bitcoin gaining traction among Chinese institutions and investors seeking uncorrelated alternatives for risk management and capital preservation. This transformation highlights the urgent need for organizations to revisit risk management and asset allocation frameworks. The “safe haven” status of US Treasuries is not immutable. China’s moves suggest that return, liquidity, strategic autonomy, and geopolitical foresight must all be weighed in reserve management. For global investors, central banks, and policymakers, these shifts are a powerful reminder that today’s reserve currencies and asset classes may not hold their primacy tomorrow. Diversification, including allocations to gold, major non-dollar currencies, and new payment systems, is not just prudent but necessary in an age of rapid geopolitical and macroeconomic change. The world’s second-largest economy is rebalancing its portfolio for the future. Will others follow suit as uncertainty and innovation define the global financial order? Update : China reduced its US Treasury holdings in October 2025 to its lowest level in 17 years, as mounting concerns over US debt sustainability and the Federal Reserve’s independence further eroded confidence in dollar-backed Assets. The country’s stockpile fell to US$688.7 billion in October, down from US$700.5 billion in September, according to US Treasury Department data released on Thursday. SCMP
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The Saturday EconomistAuthorJohn Ashcroft publishes the Saturday Economist. Join the mailing list for updates on the UK and World Economy. Archives
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